您可能听说过，英国将来将禁止销售汽油车，但何时会发生，什么车会受到影响？\n\n\n\nIn the UK, the government has announced it's intention to ban the sale of all new petrol cars by the year 2035. As well as petrol cars, the intended move will also see the sale of new diesel and even hybrid vehicle. However, no legislation has been introduced to put any of this into law, and they are now already looking at bringing it even further forward to 2030!\n\n\n\nWhen questioned about the cost of the infrastructure required to meet this target by Julia Hartley-Brewer on her TalkRadio breakfast show today, the government's Chancellor of the Dutchy of Lancaster, Michael Gove appeared to have no idea about the detail of how this startling policy can be realised. \n\n\n\nIt seems to bystanders as though this policy has been\nthought up on the hoof, and it probably has. It appears to be designed to\nplacate the increasingly zealous environmental lobby ahead of the UK hosting\nthe COP26 UN convention in Glasgow this year.\n\n\n\nWell, I've been crunching a few numbers to help out Michael Gove,\nso here are my findings.\n\n\n\nAt last count, there were 8,422 petrol\nstations in the UK, and the average number of fuel pumps per station is\naround 8.\nThat means there are approximately 67,376 fuel pumps in the UK.\n\n\n\nIt takes around 5\nhours to charge the battery of an electric car like the Nissan Leaf, so\nlet's say the average charging point can charge up to 5 cars in a 24-hour\nperiod. A petrol pump can fill up 288 cars in 24 hours \u2013 if you assume it takes\n5 minutes to fill up a car with petrol or diesel. That means you need 57.6\ntimes more electric charging points than petrol or diesel pumps to service the\nsame amount of vehicles.\n\n\n\nTo be able to recharge the same amount of electric vehicles\nas fossil fuel vehicles a petrol station would need 460.8 charging points (and\na lot of land!)\n\n\n\nThere are 67,376 pumps servicing 32.5million\npassenger cars in the UK. There were 2.31million new cars sold in the UK in\n2019. Just to replace the existing pumps would mean 101,064,000 charging points\nwould be needed, but that would be if you could charge an EV as quickly as you\ncan fill up with fuel \u2013 which you can't.\n\n\n\nEven just to service the 2.31million new cars sold in one\nyear would require (1 pump per 482 vehicles) 4,792 charging points. If you then\naccept you need 57.6 times more charging points than petrol pumps that number\nincreases to a whopping 276,019 charging points. There are currently just 9,300\npublic charging points in the UK. \n\n\n\nAt the moment, installing one commercial electric charging point\ncosts around \u00a31,500\n+ VAT. Just to install enough charging points for one year of car sales if\nthey were electric would cost \u00a3414,075,000. And that's not including the cost\nof digging up streets, new lamp posts, and the inevitable cost multiplier of it\nbeing a government project.\n\n\n\nIf 32.5million cars need 67,376 public fuel pumps,\n32.5million electric cars would need 3,880,857 EV charging points. AT \u00a31500\neach, that would mean a cost of \u00a35,821,285,500. As far as government projects\nare concerned, that's not actually a lot of money. Unfortunately, that is only\nthe tip of the iceberg.\n\n\n\nThe cost of \u00a31,500 + VAT for installing a charging point is\nfor installing where there is already space for a vehicle and an electric\nsupply in close proximity. To make this 2035 "electric dream" a\nreality would require much, much more than \u00a31,500 per charging point.\n\n\n\nIn reality, there isn\u2019t the land for petrol stations to\naccommodate the 20, 30, 40 or more vehicles at a time it would require to meet\nthe new charging demands. This would mean on-road charging points \u2013 possibly in\nlamp posts \u2013 and the huge costs involved with digging up roads etc. \n\n\n\nI live in a terraced house with no off-road parking in a\nstreet where it can be impossible to park \u2013 never mind park outside my house or\nnext to a lamp post. I live in a holiday town, and last year in August (bank holiday),\na parking space didn\u2019t become available for six solid days. \n\n\n\nNobody moved their vehicles because they knew they may not\nget parked again for days. How on earth would I be able to charge an electric\nvehicle in these circumstances, even if there were charging points in the lamp\nposts?\n\n\n\nAnd what happens to the economy when people can\u2019t get around\nor are late because they can find a place to charge their car or they have to\nwait hours until the charging point becomes available?\n\n\n\nNow, I will be fair and admit that battery and charging\ntechnology is improving all the time, and most people don\u2019t drive as much as\nthey think. Vehicles will undoubtedly be capable of charging much more quickly\nin the future, but it is never going to be as quick and convenient as filling\nup with petrol or diesel.\n\n\n\nIt's not just the sheer cost of installing the necessary\ncharging infrastructure to be able to ban cars powered by fossil fuels, it's\nthe logistics of charging too. And of course, we haven\u2019t even begun to\ninvestigate how we're going to generate all the extra electricity required to\nmeet this new demand.\n\n\n\n\nhttps:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=I_oJmmbS8Jo\n\n\n\n\nIf anyone thinks we will be able to power 32million electric\nvehicles (not to mention lorries, busses, trains etc.) by building more\nwindmills they're deluded. As it appears to take about 20 years to build one\nnew nuclear power station that we can\u2019t afford without Chinese investment and\nFrench expertise, where is all this extra electricity going to come from?